2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State
25 February 2023
Registered3,516,719
 
Nominee Atiku Abubakar Bola Tinubu
Party PDP APC
Home state Adamawa Lagos
Running mate Ifeanyi Okowa Kashim Shettima
Popular vote 489,045 482,283
Percentage 46.19% 45.56%
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Peter Obi
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party LP
Home state Kano Anambra
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
Popular vote 69,386 6,376
Percentage 6.56% 0.60%
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

 Elected President

TBD

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

Background

Katsina State is a highly populated, northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis. It has a growing economy but is facing rising insecurity, desertification, and low education rates. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and Aminu Bello Masari won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

Polling

Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date		 Sample
size		 Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC		 Obi
LP		 Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 14% 4% 8% 24% – 39% 3% 7%
Nextier
(Katsina crosstabs of national poll)		 27 January 2023 N/A 17.5% 29.4% 8.7% 39.7% 0.8% 4.0% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Katsina crosstabs of national poll)		 22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 3% 56% 2% 36% – 2% – –

Projections

Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[lower-alpha 1][2] Lean Tinubu 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[lower-alpha 2][3]
Tinubu: 46.27% 11 February 2023
Obi: 4.10%
Abubakar: 46.27%
Others: 3.36%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 3][4]		 Abubakar 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[lower-alpha 4][5] Tinubu 15 December 2022
ThisDay[lower-alpha 5][6]
Tinubu: 30% 27 December 2022
Obi: –
Kwankwaso: 30%
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 5%
The Nation[lower-alpha 6][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

Results

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Katsina State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Katsina Central Senatorial District[lower-alpha 7]
(Katsina Zone) 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Katsina North Senatorial District[lower-alpha 8]
(Daura Zone) 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Katsina South Senatorial District[lower-alpha 9]
(Funtua Zone) 		TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Bakori/Danja Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 10] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Batagarawa/Charanchi/Rimi Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 11] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Batsari/Safana/Danmusa Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 12] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Bindawa/Mani Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 13] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Daura/Sandamu/Mai'Adua Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 14] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Dutsin-Ma/Kurfi Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 15] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Faskari/Kankara/Sabuwa Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 16] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Funtua/Dandume Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 17] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Jibia/Kaita Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 18] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Katsina Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 19] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Ingawa/Kankia/Kusada Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 20] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Malumfashi/Kafur Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 21] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Mashi/Dutsi Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 22] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Matazu/Musawa Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 23] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Zango/Baure Federal Constituency[lower-alpha 24] TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

The results of the election by local government area.

LGA Bola Tinubu
APC		 Peter Obi
LP		 Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP		 Atiku Abubakar
PDP		 Others Total Valid Votes Turnout Percentage
Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage Votes Percentage
Bakori TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Batagarawa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Batsari TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Baure TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Bindawa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Charanchi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dan Musa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dandume TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Danja TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Daura TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dutsi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Dutsin-Ma TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Faskari TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Funtua TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Ingawa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Jibia TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kafur TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kaita TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kankara TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kankia TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Katsina TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kurfi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Kusada TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mai'Adua TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Malumfashi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mani TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Mashi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Matazu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Musawa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Rimi TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sabuwa TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Safana TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Sandamu TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Tsagem TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Zango TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  % TBD  %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ↑ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ↑ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ↑ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ↑ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ↑ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Batagarawa, Batsari, Charanchi, Dan Musa, Dutsin-Ma, Jibia, Kaita, Katsina, Kurfi, Rimi, and Safana.
  8. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Baure, Bindawa, Daura, Dutsi, Ingawa, Kankia, Kusada, Mai'Adua, Mani, Mashi, Sandamu, and Zango.
  9. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bakori, Dandume, Danja, Faskari, Funtua, Kafur, Kankara, Malumfashi, Matazu, Musawa, and Sabuwa.
  10. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bakori and Danja.
  11. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Batagarawa, Charanchi, and Rimi.
  12. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Batsari, Dan Musa, and Safana.
  13. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Bindawa and Mani.
  14. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Daura, Mai'Adua, and Sandamu.
  15. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dutsin-Ma and Kurfi.
  16. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Faskari, Kankara, and Sabuwa.
  17. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dandume and Funtua.
  18. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Jibia and Kaita.
  19. ↑ Comprising the local government area of Katsina.
  20. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Ingawa, Kankia, and Kusada.
  21. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Kafur and Malumfashi.
  22. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Dutsi and Mashi.
  23. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Matazu and Musawa.
  24. ↑ Comprising the local government areas of Baure and Zango.

References

  1. ↑ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ↑ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ↑ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ↑ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ↑ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ↑ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ↑ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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