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| Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Minnesota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Minnesota has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Although a Democratic-leaning state, Minnesota is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024. Minnesota has the longest active streak of voting for Democratic presidential nominees of any state, as it has not voted for a Republican for president since Richard Nixon won the state in 1972. Despite this, the state is generally not seen as a safe blue state, evident by the fact that no Democrat since 1964 has won more than 55% of the vote in the state, with elections having been particularly close in 1984, 2000, 2004 and 2016. If the Democratic nominee wins in 2024, it will be the thirteenth consecutive Democratic win.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Minnesota Democratic primary is scheduled be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Legal Marijuana Now primary
The Minnesota Legal Marijuana Now primary is scheduled be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Republican primary
The Minnesota Republican primary is scheduled be held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research/MinnPost | November 14–17, 2023 | 1,519 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 40% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[3] | Likely D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Lean D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Likely D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] | Lean D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[7] | Likely D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[8] | Lean D | January 14, 2024 |
See also
Notes
References
- ↑ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ↑ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ↑ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ↑ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ↑ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ↑ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
