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Treemap of the popular vote by county.
| Elections in Rhode Island |
|---|
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Rhode Island took place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Rhode Island voters chose four electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
Although a "safe blue state", Trump improved on Mitt Romney's performance four years prior; Romney had lost the state by 27 points, whereas Trump lost by less than 16 points. This makes it the smallest win by a Democrat since Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis in 1988. In 2012, Romney won only three towns in Rhode Island.[2] Donald Trump won 14 towns and even narrowly flipped Kent County, making this the first time a Republican has won a county in the state since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Primaries
Democratic primary
Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[3]
- Bernie Sanders
- Hillary Clinton
- Rocky De La Fuente
- Mark Stewart
| Rhode Island Democratic primary, April 26, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 66,993 | 54.71% | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| Hillary Clinton | 52,749 | 43.08% | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Mark Stewart | 236 | 0.19% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rocky De La Fuente | 145 | 0.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Write-in | 673 | 0.55% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 1,662 | 1.36% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 122,458 | 100% | 24 | 9 | 33 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Rhode Island Board of Elections and Rhode Island Democratic Party - Official Pledged Delegates Allocation | |||||
Republican primary
Three candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 39,221 | 62.92% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| John Kasich | 14,963 | 24.01% | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Ted Cruz | 6,416 | 10.29% | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Uncommitted | 417 | 0.67% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio (withdrawn) | 382 | 0.61% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 62,331 | 100.00% | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[5] | Safe D | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report[6] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com[7] | Safe D | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[8] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[10] | Likely D | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[11] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 252,525 | 54.41% | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | 180,543 | 38.90% | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 14,746 | 3.18% | |
| Green | Jill Stein | 6,220 | 1.34% | |
| Write-in | Evan McMullin | 759 | 0.16% | |
| American Delta | Rocky De La Fuente | 671 | 0.14% | |
| Write-in | Mike Maturen | 46 | 0.01% | |
| Write-in | Darrell Castle | 30 | 0.01% | |
| Write-in | Other write-ins | 8,604 | 1.85% | |
| Total votes | 464,144 | 100.00% | ||
Results by county
| County | Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Bristol | 14,609 | 57.35% | 8,965 | 35.19% | 1,901 | 7.46% | 5,644 | 22.16% | 25,475 |
| Kent | 37,788 | 46.05% | 38,336 | 46.72% | 5,929 | 7.23% | -548 | -0.67% | 82,053 |
| Newport | 22,851 | 55.67% | 15,077 | 36.73% | 3,117 | 7.60% | 7,774 | 18.94% | 41,045 |
| Providence | 142,899 | 57.51% | 90,882 | 36.58% | 14,693 | 5.91% | 52,017 | 20.93% | 248,474 |
| Washington | 33,741 | 50.84% | 27,230 | 41.03% | 5,398 | 8.13% | 6,511 | 9.81% | 66,369 |
| Totals | 252,525 | 54.41% | 180,543 | 38.90% | 31,076 | 6.69% | 71,982 | 15.51% | 464,144 |
County Flips:
|
Democratic
Hold |
Republican
Gain from Democratic
|
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Results by congressional district
Clinton won both congressional districts.[15]
| District | Clinton | Trump | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 60.5% | 34.9% | David Cicilline |
| 2nd | 51.1% | 44.02% | James Langevin |
Results by Municipality
The pink municipalities voted for Barack Obama in 2012 and flipped to Donald Trump in 2016. Only East Greenwich voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 but flipped to Hillary Clinton in 2016. Dark blue and dark red municipalities did not flip from 2012 to 2016.
Analysis
Donald Trump flipped several municipalities that had not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since the 1980s including, Burrillville, Coventry, Exeter, Foster, Glocester, Hopkinton, Johnston, Lincoln, North Smithfield, Richmond, Smithfield, and West Warwick. Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton was able to flip East Greenwich which voted for Mitt Romney in 2012.
See also
References
- ↑ This figure is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast in 2016 (464,144) by an estimate of the number of registered voters in Rhode Island in 2016 (770,875).
- For the number of votes cast, see "Official 2016 Presidential General Election Results". Rhode Island Board of Elections. February 27, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
- For the estimated number of registered voters, see "STATEWIDE - VOTER REGISTRATION SUMMARY" (PDF). Rhode Island Board of Elections. October 9, 2016. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 25, 2017. Retrieved February 6, 2018.
- ↑ "2012 Presidential Election Results - Rhode Island by City and Town". U.S. Election Atlas. David Leip. Retrieved November 25, 2016.
- 1 2 Patrick Anderson. "Candidates in both parties gear up for spot on R.I. primary ballot". The Providence Journal. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
- ↑ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ↑ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ↑ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ↑ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ↑ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- ↑ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- ↑ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ↑ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ↑ "Rhode Island Election Results". The New York Times. Retrieved December 12, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Presidential General Election Results - Rhode Island".
- ↑ Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved September 1, 2020.
- ↑ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
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